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Prostate Cancer| Volume 48, P72-81, February 2023

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Side-specific, Microultrasound-based Nomogram for the Prediction of Extracapsular Extension in Prostate Cancer

Open AccessPublished:December 28, 2022DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euros.2022.12.005

      Abstract

      Background

      Prediction of extracapsular extension (ECE) is essential to achieve a balance between oncologic resection and neural tissue preservation. Microultrasound (MUS) is an attractive alternative to multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) in the staging scenario.

      Objective

      To create a side-specific nomogram integrating clinicopathologic parameters and MUS findings to predict ipsilateral ECE and guide nerve sparing.

      Design, setting, and participants

      Prospective data were collected from consecutive patients who underwent robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy from June 2021 to May 2022 and had preoperative MUS and mpMRI. A total of 391 patients and 612 lobes were included in the analysis.

      Outcome measurements and statistical analysis

      ECE on surgical pathology was the primary outcome. Multivariate regression analyses were carried out to identify predictors for ECE. The resultant multivariable model's performance was visualized using the receiver-operating characteristic curve. A nomogram was developed based on the coefficients of the logit function for the MUS-based model. A decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess clinical utility.

      Results and limitations

      The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the MUS-based model were 81.4% and 80.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 75.6, 84.6) after internal validation. The AUC of the mpMRI-model was also 80.9% (95% CI 77.2, 85.7). The DCA demonstrated the net clinical benefit of the MUS-based nomogram and its superiority compared with MUS and MRI alone for detecting ECE. Limitations of our study included its sample size and moderate inter-reader agreement.

      Conclusions

      We developed a side-specific nomogram to predict ECE based on clinicopathologic variables and MUS findings. Its performance was comparable with that of a mpMRI-based model. External validation and prospective trials are required to corroborate our results.

      Patient summary

      The integration of clinical parameters and microultrasound can predict extracapsular extension with similar results to models based on magnetic resonance imaging findings. This can be useful for tailoring the preservation of nerves during surgery.

      Keywords

      1. Introduction

      The preoperative detection of extracapsular extension (ECE) guides the surgical plane of dissection, dictating the grade of nerve sparing to be performed [
      • Moore B.M.
      • Savdie R.
      • Pebenito R.A.
      • et al.
      The impact of nerve sparing on incidence and location of positive surgical margins in radical prostatectomy.
      ,
      • Vis A.N.
      • van den Bergh R.C.N.
      • van der Poel H.G.
      • et al.
      Selection of patients for nerve sparing surgery in robot-assisted radical prostatectomy.
      ,
      • Martini A.
      • Cumarasamy S.
      • Haines K.G.
      • Tewari A.K.
      An updated approach to incremental nerve sparing for robot-assisted radical prostatectomy.
      ]. A balance between preservation of the “neural hammock” and a fuller prostatic fascial resection affects key outcomes, including surgical margin status, urinary continence, and erectile function [
      • Catalona W.J.
      • Basler J.W.
      Return of erections and urinary continence following nerve sparing radical retropubic prostatectomy.
      ,
      • Tewari A.K.
      • Srivastava A.
      • Huang M.W.
      • et al.
      Anatomical grades of nerve sparing: a risk-stratified approach to neural-hammock sparing during robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP).
      ,
      • Nyangoh Timoh K.
      • Moszkowicz D.
      • Creze M.
      • et al.
      The male external urethral sphincter is autonomically innervated.
      ,
      • Michl U.
      • Tennstedt P.
      • Feldmeier L.
      • et al.
      Nerve-sparing surgery technique, not the preservation of the neurovascular bundles, leads to improved long-term continence rates after radical prostatectomy.
      ,
      • Pedraza A.M.
      • Pandav K.
      • Menon M.
      • et al.
      Current strategies to improve erectile function in patients undergoing radical prostatectomy-intraoperative scenario.
      ]. Consequently, extensive research has been conducted to optimize preoperative ECE prediction.
      American Urological Association states that multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) should not be used in isolation to determine nerve sparing as its ability to predict ECE, particularly when microscopic, is suboptimal [
      • Eastham J.A.
      • Auffenberg G.B.
      • Barocas D.A.
      • et al.
      Clinically localized prostate cancer: AUA/ASTRO guideline, Part II: principles of active surveillance, principles of surgery, and follow-up.
      ]. Moreover, the European guideline recommends not performing nerve-sparing surgery on patients classified to have >T2c or International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) Gleason grading group (GGG) >3 [
      • Mottet N.
      • van den Bergh R.C.N.
      • Briers E.
      • et al.
      EAU-EANM-ESTRO-ESUR-SIOG guidelines on prostate cancer—2020 update. Part 1: screening, diagnosis, and local treatment with curative intent.
      ]. Given the growing preoperative use of mpMRI, several authors have explored the additive value of this technology to clinical variables in the prediction of ECE, and although multiple models have been described, most of them lack external validation [
      • Martini A.
      • Gupta A.
      • Lewis S.C.
      • et al.
      Development and internal validation of a side-specific, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based nomogram for the prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Giganti F.
      • Coppola A.
      • Ambrosi A.
      • et al.
      Apparent diffusion coefficient in the evaluation of side-specific extracapsular extension in prostate cancer: development and external validation of a nomogram of clinical use.
      ,
      • Alves J.R.
      • Muglia V.F.
      • Lucchesi F.R.
      • et al.
      Independent external validation of nomogram to predict extracapsular extension in patients with prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Diamand R.
      • Ploussard G.
      • Roumiguié M.
      • et al.
      External validation of a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging–based nomogram for the prediction of extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle invasion in prostate cancer patients undergoing radical prostatectomy.
      ]. Besides, limitations of mpMRI include its low sensitivity, low negative predictive value (NPV) for ECE detection, long learning curve, cost, and moderate inter-reader reproducibility [
      • Mottet N.
      • van den Bergh R.C.N.
      • Briers E.
      • et al.
      EAU-EANM-ESTRO-ESUR-SIOG guidelines on prostate cancer—2020 update. Part 1: screening, diagnosis, and local treatment with curative intent.
      ,
      • Somford D.M.
      • Hamoen E.H.
      • Fütterer J.J.
      • et al.
      The predictive value of endorectal 3 tesla multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging for extraprostatic extension in patients with low, intermediate and high risk prostate cancer.
      ,
      • de Rooij M.
      • Hamoen E.H.J.
      • Witjes J.A.
      • Barentsz J.O.
      • Rovers M.M.
      Accuracy of magnetic resonance imaging for local staging of prostate cancer: a diagnostic meta-analysis.
      ].
      An emerging technology that offers promise as a possible adjunct and alternative to mpMRI is high-definition microultrasound (MUS). MUS functions via a transrectal probe that operates at 29 MHz, as opposed to 8–12 MHz with traditional ultrasound systems to provide resolution down to 70 µm, a 300% improvement over current standards [
      • Laurence Klotz C.M.
      Can high resolution micro-ultrasound replace MRI in the diagnosis of prostate cancer?.
      ]. Meta-analysis evidence supports equivalence between MUS- and mpMRI-targeted biopsies in detecting clinically significant prostate cancer [
      • Sountoulides P.
      • Pyrgidis N.
      • Polyzos S.A.
      • et al.
      Micro-ultrasound-guided vs multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-targeted biopsy in the detection of prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      ]. In addition, MUS provides a real-time anatomic assessment, has lower cost and no-lag acquisition time, avoids intravenous contrast, and has fewer contraindications than MRI, and the fundamentals of its use are the same as traditional ultrasound—a modality that many urologists are familiar with. Although the exact role of MUS has yet to be established in guideline recommendations, the potential is clear.
      The extent of neural hammock preservation is influenced greatly by imaging findings. In a recent meta-analysis, mpMRI modified the surgical plan in 35% of the cases, showing an accurate decision in 77% of them. This accuracy increased to 91% in high-risk prostate cancer patients [
      • Kozikowski M.
      • Malewski W.
      • Michalak W.
      • Dobruch J.
      Clinical utility of MRI in the decision-making process before radical prostatectomy: systematic review and meta-analysis.
      ]. Similarly, MUS could lead to achieving a better balance between nerve preservation and oncologic resection. To test this hypothesis, however, further research is required.
      Given its promising outcomes in the detection of prostate cancer as well as local staging [
      • Sountoulides P.
      • Pyrgidis N.
      • Polyzos S.A.
      • et al.
      Micro-ultrasound-guided vs multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-targeted biopsy in the detection of prostate cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
      ,
      • Fasulo V.
      • Buffi N.M.
      • Regis F.
      • et al.
      Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study.
      ,
      • Regis F.
      • Casale P.
      • Persico F.
      • et al.
      Use of 29-MHz micro-ultrasound for local staging of prostate cancer in patients scheduled for radical prostatectomy: a feasibility study.
      ], we aimed to create a side-specific nomogram integrating clinicopathologic parameters and MUS findings to predict ipsilateral ECE.

      2. Patients and methods

      2.1 Study population

      We included prospective data from 391 consecutive patients who had preoperative MUS and mpMRI and underwent robotic-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) from June 2021 to May 2022. Patients unable or unwilling to undergo mpMRI and MUS, and those who had received prior local (radiotherapy or focal therapy) or systemic therapy (androgen deprivation) were excluded.
      The grading system described by Tewari et al [
      • Tewari A.K.
      • Srivastava A.
      • Huang M.W.
      • et al.
      Anatomical grades of nerve sparing: a risk-stratified approach to neural-hammock sparing during robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP).
      ] served as the foundation of our nerve-sparing technique. The extent of neural hammock preservation was tailored in a side-specific manner taking into account the ipsilateral risk of ECE according to Martini et al's [
      • Martini A.
      • Gupta A.
      • Lewis S.C.
      • et al.
      Development and internal validation of a side-specific, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based nomogram for the prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer.
      ] nomogram.
      This study was covered under the institutional review board (STUDY-14-00050-CR002). As part of the protocol, all patients had a standard systematic (12-core) transrectal biopsy plus two to four cores from targeted areas in cases of mpMRI Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) ≥3. All external biopsy slides were re-read in our center by an experienced pathologist, and all the surgeries were performed by a single surgeon (A.K.T.).

      2.2 Outcome

      The presence of ECE in final surgical pathology was the primary outcome. According to the ISUP, ECE was defined as the presence of a tumor beyond the borders of the gland; both ECE and seminal vesicle invasion were included in the analysis. Moreover, quantification of ECE was performed following the Epstein approach and reported as focal or established [
      • Fine S.W.
      • Amin M.B.
      • Berney D.M.
      • et al.
      A contemporary update on pathology reporting for prostate cancer: Biopsy and radical prostatectomy specimens.
      ]. Since the goal of our study was to create a side-specific nomogram, prostate lobes with positive biopsy results were evaluated separately. A total of 391 patients and 612 lobes were included in the final analysis.
      The protocol at our institution follows the ISUP Consensus guidelines on prostatectomy handling, and processing [
      • Samaratunga H.
      • Montironi R.
      • True L.
      • et al.
      International society of urological pathology (ISUP) consensus conference on handling and staging of radical prostatectomy specimens. Working group 1: specimen handling.
      ]. After specimen fixation and capsular inking for orientation, the apex is removed perpendicularly and the prostate's right and left posterior-lateral aspects. The base is taken en face and is sectioned perpendicularly. Then, the specimen is serially sectioned transversely from the apex to the base, and representative sections are submitted sequentially.

      2.3 Imaging and interpretation

      Patients underwent transrectal MUS 1–2 wk before surgery using the ExactVu system (Exact Imaging, Markham, Canada). This transrectal ultrasound was performed by an experienced urologist (A.M.P.) blinded to mpMRI and biopsy results. The same urologist classified the lesions according to the Prostate Risk Identification Using Micro-Ultrasound (PRI-MUS) score. The dominant lesion on MUS was defined as the lesion with the highest PRI-MUS score or the largest in the case of multiple lesions with the same PRI-MUS score. Patients underwent 3-Tesla MRI with a pelvic phased-array coil before (363/391) or at least 4 wk after prostate biopsy (28/391). Of note, at our facility, targeted samples were guided by mpMRI (PI-RADS 3,4,5), whereas MUS technology was not used at the time of the biopsy.
      Irrespective of the institution where mpMRI was performed, all images were uploaded to our Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS; Centricity; GE Healthcare, Chicago, IL, USA). The mpMRI scans performed at our institution were read by dedicated radiologists and followed the technical specifications determined by the American College of Radiology, using 3-Tesla MRI systems (Magnetom Skyra; Siemens Healthineers, Erlangen, Germany, and Discovery MR750; GE Healthcare) equipped with either a 32- or an 18-element phased-array pelvic coil. Multiplanar T1-, T2-, and diffusion-weighted sequences were obtained, including axial T1 perfusion before and after contrast injection. PI-RADS version 2.1 was used [
      • Turkbey B.
      • Rosenkrantz A.B.
      • Haider M.A.
      • et al.
      Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1: 2019 update of Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.
      ].
      A random sample of 78 patients—20% of the cohort—was selected for inter-reader agreement analyses. Three additional readers, a diagnostic medical sonographer (reader 2) and two urologists (readers 3 and 4), retrospectively reviewed and interpreted still images. Reader 2 had performed an average of 800 MUS scans, while readers 3 and 4 had performed an average of 500 and 400 MUS scans, respectively.

      2.4 Variables and definitions

      Prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD), maximum percentage of tumor involvement in the core with the highest Gleason score, ISUP grade group at biopsy, and ECE detected by imaging (MUS or mpMRI) were included in our model. Following PI-RADS v2.1, the asymmetry or invasion of the neurovascular bundles, bulging prostatic contour, irregular or spiculated margin, obliteration of the rectoprostatic angle, tumor-capsule interface of >1.0 cm, and breach of the capsule with evidence of direct tumor extension or bladder wall invasion were taken as signs of ECE presence on mpMRI [
      • Turkbey B.
      • Rosenkrantz A.B.
      • Haider M.A.
      • et al.
      Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1: 2019 update of Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.
      ]. Similarly, MRI-derived parameters were used for MUS, as described previously in the literature. These features specifically included capsular contact length ≥15 mm, capsular bulging or irregularity, visible breach of the prostate capsule, presence of a hypoechoic halo—mainly on apical lesions, and obliteration of the prostatic-seminal vesicle angle (Fig. 1) [
      • Fasulo V.
      • Buffi N.M.
      • Regis F.
      • et al.
      Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study.
      ,
      • Regis F.
      • Casale P.
      • Persico F.
      • et al.
      Use of 29-MHz micro-ultrasound for local staging of prostate cancer in patients scheduled for radical prostatectomy: a feasibility study.
      ].
      Figure thumbnail gr1a
      Fig. 1Examples of MRI-derived parameters to detect ECE with MUS: capsular contact length ≥15 mm, capsular bulging and irregularity (yellow dotted line), visible breach of the prostate (red arrow), and obliteration of the prostatic-seminal vesicle angle (green arrow). ECE = extracapsular extension; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; MUS = microultrasound.
      Figure thumbnail gr1b
      Fig. 1Examples of MRI-derived parameters to detect ECE with MUS: capsular contact length ≥15 mm, capsular bulging and irregularity (yellow dotted line), visible breach of the prostate (red arrow), and obliteration of the prostatic-seminal vesicle angle (green arrow). ECE = extracapsular extension; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; MUS = microultrasound.

      2.5 Statistical analysis

      Baseline descriptive characteristics of the cohort were summarized as median and interquartile range for continuous variables. Categorical variables were summarized as frequency and percentages. The distribution of descriptive covariates by ECE status was compared for corresponding prostate specimen sides using chi-square for categorical variables and a t test for continuous variables.
      Since we sought to compare the performance of the MRI- and MUS-based models, we developed two models using logistic regression: one based on MUS-based predictors and the other based on MRI-based predictor variables. After performing univariate binary logistic regression analyses, variables identified to be significantly associated with ipsilateral ECE (p < 0.05) were included in a multivariable binary logistic regression analysis to identify the predictors of ECE. The goodness of fit was assessed by using the likelihood ratio test (p < 0.05). The resultant multivariable model's performance was visualized using the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was estimated. A nomogram was developed based on the coefficients of the logit function for the MUS-based model, and a decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the utility of our model. Lastly, k-fold cross-validation for the AUC for a binary outcome was performed after fitting a logit regression model, averaging the AUCs corresponding to each fold, and bootstrapping the cross-validated AUC to obtain statistical inference and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) [
      • Luque-Fernandez M.A.
      • Redondo-Sánchez D.
      • Maringe C.
      cvauroc: Command to compute cross-validated area under the curve for ROC analysis after predictive modeling for binary outcomes.
      ].
      To determine the additive value of combining mpMRI, MUS, and clinical parameters, we used the multilayer perceptron network models with backpropagation. The dataset was divided randomly into two sets: 69.6% (426) of the cases were used for training and 30.4% (186) for testing the model. Three layers were used in the neural network analysis (NNA): An input layer, a hidden layer, and an output layer. Nine covariates were included in the input layer—ISUP GGG, maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG, presence or absence of ECE on MUS and MRI, PSAD based on MRI volume, PSAD based on MUS volume, digital rectal examination (DRE), and PRI-MUS and PI-RADS scores. We applied the sigmoid activation function in the hidden layer and the softmax function in the output layer.
      To assess the inter-reader agreement between MUS readers, the method described by Gwet [
      • Gwet K.
      Handbook of inter-rater reliability.
      ] in 2014 was applied [
      • Klein D.
      Implementing a general framework for assessing interrater agreement in Stata.
      ], and the classification proposed by Landis and Koch [
      • Landis J.R.
      • Koch G.G.
      The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data.
      ] was used to determine the levels of agreement: slight (0–0.20), fair (0.21–0.40), moderate (0.41–0.60), substantial (0.61–0.80), and excellent (0.81–1). Statistical analyses were carried out using STATA 14 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA). The NNA was performed with IMB SPSS, version 28.0.1.1 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).

      3. Results

      3.1 Population characteristics

      The baseline characteristics are presented in Table 1, Table 2. In Summary, of the 612 prostatic lobes analyzed on the final pathology, 476 (78%) had organ-confined disease (OCD), while ECE was detected in 136 (22%). Age distribution, DRE, ISUP grade group, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), PSAD, PRI-MUS score, and PI-RADS score were significantly different among patients with OCD and those with ECE. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and NPV of MUS for detecting ECE were 47.6%, 85.8%, 51.5%, and 83.8%, respectively. Comparatively, these parameters for mpMRI were 50%, 86.9%, 52.3%, and 85.9%, respectively. Of note, 41% of pT3a cases in final pathology had a focal extension, 12% presented with bladder neck invasion, and 47% had established ECE. Overall, ECE was present on the left side in 52 (38%) lobes, while 58 (43%) cases were documented on the right side, and 26 prostates (19%) presented with bilateral lobe involvement. Regarding surgical margin status, 45 (11.5%) patients were found to have positive margins. Of these, 19 (42%) had pT2 disease, and 26 (58%) had pT3a or pT3b disease.
      Table 1Descriptive characteristics of 391 patients who underwent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy at a single center between June 2021 and May 2022
      VariableOverall (n = 391)
      Age at surgery (yr), median (IQR)64 (59–69)
      Preoperative PSA (ng/ml), median (IQR)6.6 (4.8–9.8)
      Family history, n (%)119 (30)
      Race, n (%)
       Caucasian261 (67)
       African American70 (18)
       Other60 (15)
      Clinical stage, n (%)
       T1c277 (71)
       T2106 (27)
       T38 (2)
      Biopsy ISUP grade group, n (%)
       135 (9)
       2170 (43.5)
       399 (25.3)
       453 (13.5)
       534 (8.7)
      Maximum % core involvement, median (IQR)50 (24–75)
      Pathologic stage, n (%)
       T2277 (70.8)
       T3a75 (19.2)
       T3b39 (10)
      Pathologic ISUP grade group, n (%)
       120 (5.1)
       2231(59.0)
       3100 (25.6)
       411(2.8)
       529 (7.5)
      NeuroSAFE status, n (%)
       Negative287 (73.4)
       Positive104 (26.6)
      Surgical margin status, n (%)
       Negative346 (88.5)
       Positive45 (11.5)
      IQR = interquartile range; ISUP = International Society of Urological Pathology; PSA = prostate-specific antigen.
      Table 2Descriptive characteristics of 612 prostate specimen sides
      VariableOverall,

      N = 612
      OCD

      N = 476 (78%)
      ECE

      N = 136 (22%)
      p value
      Age at surgery (yr), median (IQR)63 (59–69)63.5 (58.0, 69.0)65.0 (62.0, 71.5)0.007
      Preoperative PSA (ng/ml), median (IQR)9.04 (4.8–9.9)7.7 (4.7, 9.2)13.6 (5.2, 13.0)<0.0001
      Abnormal DRE, n (%)11664 (13)52 (38)<0.0001
      PSAD (MRI volume), median (IQR)0.28 (0.13–0.33)0.23 (0.14–0.30)0.46 (0.18–0.49)<0.0001
      PSAD (MUS volume), median (IQR)0.23 (0.11–0.28)0.20 (0.10–0.25)0.37 (0.14–0.42)<0.0001
      PI-RADS (%)
       2161 (26)146 (30.7)15 (11)<0.0001
       361 (10)55 (11.6)6 (4.4)
       4215 (35)184 (38.7)31 (22.8)
       5175 (29)91 (19)84 (61.8)
      PRI-MUS (%)
       2149 (24.3)136 (28.6)13 (9.6)<0.0001
       360 (9.8)57 (12)3 (2.2)
       4260 (42.5)211 (44.3)49 (36)
       5143 (23.4)72 (15.1)71 (52.2)
      ECE MRI (%)
       Present130 (21.2)62 (13)68 (50)<0.0001
       Absent482 (78.8)414 (87)68 (50)
      ECE MUS (%)
       Present147 (24)77 (16)70 (51.5)<0.0001
       Absent465 (76)399 (84)66 (48.5)
      DRE = digital rectal examination; ECE = extracapsular extension; IQR = interquartile range; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; MUS = microultrasound; OCD = organ-confined disease; PI-RADS = Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System; PRI-MUS = Prostate Risk Identification Using Micro-Ultrasound; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; PSAD = prostate-specific antigen density.

      3.2 Uni- and multivariable analyses predicting ECE

      Univariate analysis results are presented in Table 3. The PSA level, PSAD, DRE, maximum percentage of tumor involvement in the core with the highest Gleason score, presence of ECE on MUS and mpMRI, PI-RADS 4 and 5, PRI-MUS scores 4 and 5, and ISUP GGG 4 and 5 were found to be statistically significant predictors of ECE.
      Table 3Uni- and multivariable binary logistic regression analyses predicting side-specific extracapsular extension—MUS based-model
      MUS-based model
      CovariateUnivariable analysisMultivariable analysis
      OR95% CIp valueOR95% CIp value
      PSA1.111.07–1.16<0.00011.020.95–1.090.49
      PSAD20.407.35–56.63<0.00017.011.37–35.76<0.0001
      ISUP grade group
       1Reference
       21.850.94–3.650.0750.940.44–1.990.87
       33.861.94–7.65<0.00011.420.65–3.100.36
       4–59.334.71–18.46<0.00012.501.14–5.510.02
      Maximum % core1.031.02–1.03<0.00011.011.00–1.02<0.0001
      ECE MUS
       AbsentReferenceReference
       Present5.493.62–8.32<0.00012.081.23–3.500.006
      PRI-MUS
       2ReferenceReference
       30.550.15–2.000.360.560.14–2.190.41
       4–54.432.41–8.14<0.00011.910.92–3.920.07
      DRE1.991.32–3.000.0011.050.63–1.730.837
      CI = confidence interval; DRE = digital rectal examination; ECE = extracapsular extension; ISUP = International Society of Urological Pathology; MUS = microultrasound; OR = odds ratio; PRI-MUS = Prostate Risk Identification Using Micro-Ultrasound; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; PSAD = prostate-specific antigen density.
      On a multivariable analysis, two different models were assessed. The first model integrated MUS-based findings and clinical parameters. The PSAD, ISUP GGG, maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG, and presence of ECE on MUS emerged as significant predictors. These four prognostic indicators were used to construct the nomogram presented in Figure 2. The second model combined PSAD, ISUP GGG, maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG, and detection of ECE on mpMRI (Table 3, Table 4).
      Figure thumbnail gr2
      Fig. 2Nomogram for the prediction of ECE based on MUS. ECE = extracapsular extension; GGG = Gleason grading group; ISUP = International Society of Urological Pathology; MaxP = maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG; MUS = microultrasound; Prob = probability; PSAD = prostate-specific antigen density.
      Table 4Uni- and multivariable binary logistic regression analyses predicting side-specific extracapsular extension—MRI-based model
      MRI-based model
      CovariateUnivariable analysisMultivariable analysis
      OR95% CIp valueOR95% CIp value
      PSA1.030.97–1.100.296
      PSAD11.454.86–26.95<0.00017.301.14–46.590.035
      ISUP grade group
       1ReferenceReference
       21.850.94–3.650.0751.000.47–2.100.99
       33.861.94–7.65<0.00011.430.66–3.080.36
       4–59.334.71–18.46<0.00012.781.27–6.060.010
      Maximum % core1.031.02–1.03<0.00011.011.00–1.02<0.0001
      ECE MRI
       AbsentReferenceReference
       Present6.674.34–10.25<0.00013.171.89–5.33<0.0001
      PI-RADS
       2ReferenceReference
       30.240.75–1.240.6340.960.32–2.870.94
       4–51.450.87–2.02<0.00011.620.82–3.210.15
      CI = confidence interval; ECE = extracapsular extension; ISUP = International Society of Urological Pathology; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; OR = odds ratio; PI-RADS = Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System; PSA = prostate-specific antigen; PSAD = prostate-specific antigen density.
      The AUC of the MUS- and MRI-based models were 81.4% and 82%, respectively. Following internal validation, both models presented with excellent performance with an AUC of 80.9% (MUS: 95% CI 75.6, 84.6; mpMRI: 95% CI 77.2, 85.7). The DCA shown in Figure 3 demonstrates the net clinical benefit of using the MUS-based nomogram and its superiority compared with MUS or MRI alone for the detection of ECE. Moreover, the test for equality of the AUCs comparing our model versus clinicopathologic parameters only (ie, without MUS) showed a statistically significant difference in favor of adding MUS as a predictor (p = 0.014).
      Figure thumbnail gr3
      Fig. 3Decision curve analysis showing net benefit of using our model based on MUS. ECE = extracapsular extension; MRI = magnetic resonance imaging; MUS = microultrasound.
      A binary logistic regression was carried out to determine the performance of MUS (alone) according to the location of the ECE (base, mid prostate, apex, or anterior/posterior zones), followed by a test for the equality of AUCs. The MUS tented to perform better in the detection of ECE located at the apex (AUC 71%) and the posterior zone (AUC 69.1%) than that at the anterior (AUC 63%) and the base to midprostate (AUC 67.3%) zones. Nonetheless, these differences were not statistically significant (Supplementary Table 2). Of note, the agreement coefficient (AC) on ECE detection at MUS was fair among the four readers. However, the percentage of agreement between more experienced readers (1 and 2) was higher (73%) with a moderate AC (0.53, 95% CI 0.33–0.73; Table 5).
      Table 5Agreement in assessing ECE with MUS based on agreement coefficient (AC) and percentage of agreement (PA)
      AllReaders 1 and 2Readers 1 and 3Readers 1 and 4
      Gwet’s AC0.38 (0.24–0.52)0.53 (0.33–0.73)0.33 (0.10–0.56)0.25 (0.01–0.48)
      PA67.1 (60.7–73.4)73.1 (63.1–83.1)64.1 (53.2–74.9)60.2 (49.1–71.4)
      ECE = extracapsular extension; MUS = microultrasound.
      Lastly, the NNA, which included nine covariates of clinical significance, achieved the highest performance in detecting ECE with an AUC of 83.6%. Notably, the PSAD (prostatic volume by MUS) was the most critical contributor to the model (100%), followed by the maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG (93.9%), PSAD (prostatic volume by mpMRI; 52.8%), presence of ECE on MUS (45%), ISUP GGG (36.7%), presence of ECE on mpMRI (31%), PRI-MUS (25.9%), PI-RADS (24.3%), and DRE (12.1%; Supplementary Tables 1 and 2).

      4. Discussion

      An accurate assessment of ECE risk is of great importance as it will guide the surgeon in achieving an appropriate balance between oncologic resection and preservation of the “neural hammock.” Since the creation of Partin tables to predict final pathology on radical prostatectomy, prognostic models have been expanded beyond the original use of PSA, Gleason score, and clinical stage to include an assortment of preoperative clinicopathologic and imaging-based variables, mainly mpMRI [
      • Partin A.W.
      • Yoo J.
      • Carter H.B.
      • et al.
      The use of prostate specific antigen, clinical stage and Gleason score to predict pathological stage in men with localized prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Nyarangi-Dix J.
      • Wiesenfarth M.
      • Bonekamp D.
      • et al.
      Combined clinical parameters and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of extraprostatic disease—a risk model for patient-tailored risk stratification when planning radical prostatectomy.
      ]. Although this technology has become a fundamental instrument in preoperative planning, sensitivity in the staging setting is still limited. Furthermore, few models provide a side-specific risk of ECE to inform the ipsilateral degree of nerve sparing [
      • Martini A.
      • Gupta A.
      • Lewis S.C.
      • et al.
      Development and internal validation of a side-specific, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based nomogram for the prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Ohori M.
      • Kattan M.W.
      • Koh H.
      • et al.
      Predicting the presence and side of extracapsular extension: A nomogram for staging prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Soeterik T.F.W.
      • van Melick H.H.E.
      • Dijksman L.M.
      • et al.
      Development and external validation of a novel nomogram to predict side-specific extraprostatic extension in patients with prostate cancer undergoing radical prostatectomy.
      ,
      • Steuber T.
      • Graefen M.
      • Haese A.
      • et al.
      Validation of a nomogram for prediction of side specific extracapsular extension at radical prostatectomy.
      ].
      We used a multivariate binary logistic regression to develop the first MUS-based nomogram to predict ipsilateral ECE on surgical pathology from a combination of MUS imaging findings and preoperative clinical parameters. Compared with a model integrating mpMRI and identical clinical parameters, the MUS model resulted in an AUC of 81.4% against the MRI model’s 82%. Nonetheless, after internal validation, the AUC was the same for both (80.9%). As presented in the DCA, our nomogram provides a net clinical benefit above a 6.5% threshold by combining PSAD, ISUP GGG, maximum percentage of core involvement in the core with the highest GGG, and presence or absence of ECE on MUS.
      Recently, Regis et al [
      • Regis F.
      • Casale P.
      • Persico F.
      • et al.
      Use of 29-MHz micro-ultrasound for local staging of prostate cancer in patients scheduled for radical prostatectomy: a feasibility study.
      ] found sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV of 87.5%, 80%, 88.9%, and 77.8% for MUS, respectively, in the detection of ECE. Similarly, Fasulo et al [
      • Fasulo V.
      • Buffi N.M.
      • Regis F.
      • et al.
      Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study.
      ] reported sensitivity of 72.1%, specificity of 88%, NPV of 80.5%, and PPV of 83.0%. Our outcomes differ mainly for three reasons: first, the PPV of both mpMRI and MUS could have been affected by our lower prevalence of non-OCD compared with the cohort analyzed by Regis et al [
      • Regis F.
      • Casale P.
      • Persico F.
      • et al.
      Use of 29-MHz micro-ultrasound for local staging of prostate cancer in patients scheduled for radical prostatectomy: a feasibility study.
      ] and Fasulo et al [
      • Fasulo V.
      • Buffi N.M.
      • Regis F.
      • et al.
      Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study.
      ] (29.2% vs 44.5% and 43.6%, respectively). Second, 38% of ECE lobes in our cohort were associated with abnormal DRE findings, whereas 60% of pT3 prostate cancer patients in the study by Fasulo et al [
      • Fasulo V.
      • Buffi N.M.
      • Regis F.
      • et al.
      Use of high-resolution micro-ultrasound to predict extraprostatic extension of prostate cancer prior to surgery: a prospective single-institutional study.
      ] had a palpable disease, with DRE being a significant contributor in their multivariate analysis (odds ratio 3.0). On the contrary, the NNA showed the lowest contribution of DRE (12.1%) for detecting ECE in our patients with no statistical significance in the multivariate model. Lastly, 53% of the lobes with pT3a disease identified in our cohort had either focal or bladder neck invasion. In fact, when the nomogram was applied using established ECE as the primary outcome, the AUC increased to 87%. Those mentioned above, in addition to inter-reader variability, influenced the accuracy of MUS in these different cohorts.
      The mpMRI-based model presented here had similar performance to the nomogram published by Martini et al [
      • Martini A.
      • Gupta A.
      • Lewis S.C.
      • et al.
      Development and internal validation of a side-specific, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based nomogram for the prediction of extracapsular extension of prostate cancer.
      ], developed at our institution and used in daily practice to guide judgment on grades of nerve preservation during RARP [
      • Martini A.
      • Cumarasamy S.
      • Haines K.G.
      • Tewari A.K.
      An updated approach to incremental nerve sparing for robot-assisted radical prostatectomy.
      ]. To provide information regarding the addition of MUS to mpMRI findings and clinicopathologic variables, we integrated nine covariates in the NNA, which showed higher importance of MUS-related variables than mpMRI-related variables.
      Indeed, in our cohort, MUS identified 25 out of the 68 (36%) ECE cases that were overlooked by mpMRI. Interestingly, 12% (3/25) of them corresponded to mpMRI-invisible lesions (PI-RADS 2). This is in concordance with prior reports in the literature, showing up to 26% of cases with clinically significant prostate cancer and negative mpMRI [
      • Kuhlmann P.K.
      • Chen M.
      • Luu M.
      • et al.
      Patient- and tumor-level risk factors for MRI-invisible prostate cancer.
      ,
      • Rouvière O.
      • Puech P.
      • Renard-Penna R.
      • et al.
      Use of prostate systematic and targeted biopsy on the basis of multiparametric MRI in biopsy-naive patients (MRI-FIRST): a prospective, multicentre, paired diagnostic study.
      ]. Moreover, all the PI-RADS 3 lesions on mpMRI (4/25) were interpreted as either PRI-MUS 4 or 5 on MUS, a predictor of ECE in our univariate analysis. It is noteworthy that an established or nonfocal ECE was present in 11 out of the 25 cases (44%) missed by mpMRI.
      Since adopting MUS in the preoperative setting seems to improve the prediction of ECE, both technologies may therefore be applied in a complimentary manner.
      Evaluation of the anterior zone of the prostate can be challenging with MUS, especially in those patients with enlarged prostates and multiple periurethral calcifications. For instance, Chessa et al [
      • Chessa F.
      • Schiavina R.
      • Amelio E.
      • et al.
      Diagnostic accuracy of the novel 29 MHz micro-ultrasound “exactVuTM” for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer: a prospective single institutional study. A step forward in the diagnosis of prostate cancer.
      ] reported decreased sensitivity and NPV for MUS in detecting clinically significant prostate cancer located in the anterior or transitional zone compared with peripheral zone locations. However, in our cohort of patients, the performance of MUS for the identification of ECE was comparable between the anterior and posterior zone (p = 0.4), as well as for the different locations within the prostate (base and apex; p = 0.65). There were no statistically significant differences in calculated AUCs.
      To our knowledge, this is the first described side-specific nomogram integrating MUS and clinicopathologic variables to predict ECE. We have found that the use of this MUS-based model is comparable with that of the mpMRI-based model. Potential advantages of MUS include real-time assessment, lower cost, shorter acquisition time, and avoidance of contrast, making it an attractive preoperative instrument. Moreover, since the urologist performs MUS, it may facilitate the evaluation and interpretation of the test from a surgical perspective.
      We acknowledge the limitations of our study, including its sample size, in addition to the that a high percentage of the mpMRI scans were performed at outside facilities and a centralized retrospective review of these readings was not performed. While all MUS scans were done at our institution, the inter-reader agreement was only fair; this could represent a barrier to a wider application. Nonetheless, the AC improved to moderate once the most experienced readers were included in the analysis. On the contrary, the interpretation of MUS may have been biased as the readers were aware of the presence of prostate cancer beforehand. Despite these drawbacks, the integration of MUS as part of a preoperative evaluation produced promising outcomes in creating a nomogram.

      5. Conclusions

      We have developed a side-specific model to predict ipsilateral ECE based on clinical variables combined with MUS findings. Its performance was comparable with that of a mpMRI-based model using the same clinicopathologic variables (AUC 80.9%). The implementation of this nomogram can be helpful in tailoring nerve-sparing approaches. Nevertheless, external validation of our findings and prospective trials are required to corroborate the results.
      Author contributions: Adriana M. Pedraza had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
      Study concept and design: Tewari, Pedraza.
      Acquisition of data: Parekh, Gupta, Barthe, Pedraza, Pandav.
      Analysis and interpretation of data: Joshi, Pedraza.
      Drafting of the manuscript: Pedraza, Grauer, Wagaskar, Zuluaga, Gupta, Nasri.
      Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Tewari, Menon, Gorin, Patel, Pedraza.
      Statistical analysis: Joshi, Pedraza.
      Obtaining funding: None.
      Administrative, technical, or material support: None.
      Supervision: Tewari, Pedraza.
      Other: None.
      Financial disclosures: Adriana M. Pedraza certifies that all conflicts of interest, including specific financial interests and relationships and affiliations relevant to the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript (eg, employment/affiliation, grants or funding, consultancies, honoraria, stock ownership or options, expert testimony, royalties, or patents filed, received, or pending), are the following: None.
      Funding/Support and role of the sponsor: None.

      Appendix A. Supplementary data

      The following are the Supplementary data to this article:

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